Model line
Oklahoma −3.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Oklahoma 64%
Projected tempo
71.8
possessions
Site
Neutral
36%Win probability64%
The model makes Oklahoma a 3.5-point favorite, winning about 64 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Oklahoma St. offense vs Oklahoma defense
| Oklahoma St. O | Stat | Oklahoma D |
|---|---|---|
| 74.1#6 | Tempo | #17768.4 |
| 52.2#141 | eFG% | #17051.2 |
| 15.8#122 | TOV% | #26715.3 |
| 31.0#164 | ORB% | #29733.0 |
| 39.7#62 | FT rate | #15134.0 |
| 10.5#275 | Block% | #12010.4 |
| 50.9#221 | Assist% | #13150.7 |
| 52.8#136 | 2P% | #15051.1 |
| 34.0#172 | 3P% | #19734.2 |
| 74.9#86 | FT% | — |
| 35.6#256 | 3PA rate | #17139.7 |
Oklahoma offense vs Oklahoma St. defense
| Oklahoma O | Stat | Oklahoma St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4#177 | Tempo | #674.1 |
| 55.1#38 | eFG% | #26652.9 |
| 14.4#40 | TOV% | #23415.8 |
| 33.6#76 | ORB% | #17530.2 |
| 35.9#158 | FT rate | #10131.8 |
| 10.0#239 | Block% | #3067.1 |
| 50.2#239 | Assist% | #30357.3 |
| 55.0#58 | 2P% | #22352.6 |
| 36.8#34 | 3P% | #28335.5 |
| 74.5#103 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#95 | 3PA rate | #6443.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Oklahoma St.
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | Wichita St.80 | L 70–96 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | Davidson121 | W 84–80 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | TCU50 | L 88–95 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Colorado87 | W 92–83 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Houston4 | L 75–82 |
Oklahoma
| Sun, Apr 5 | N | West Virginia51 | L 82–89 |
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Baylor32 | W 82–69 |
| Wed, Apr 1 | N | Colorado87 | W 90–86 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Arkansas23 | L 79–82 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Texas A&M33 | W 83–63 |
