Model line
Oklahoma −39.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Oklahoma >99%
Projected tempo
70.7
possessions
Site
Oklahoma home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Oklahoma a 39.0-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Alabama St. offense vs Oklahoma defense
| Alabama St. O | Stat | Oklahoma D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#38 | Tempo | #17768.4 |
| 47.1#333 | eFG% | #17051.2 |
| 18.3#286 | TOV% | #26715.3 |
| 31.9#126 | ORB% | #29733.0 |
| 34.9#183 | FT rate | #15134.0 |
| 11.0#299 | Block% | #12010.4 |
| 47.6#293 | Assist% | #13150.7 |
| 46.8#333 | 2P% | #15051.1 |
| 31.8#285 | 3P% | #19734.2 |
| 70.5#253 | FT% | — |
| 38.5#200 | 3PA rate | #17139.7 |
Oklahoma offense vs Alabama St. defense
| Oklahoma O | Stat | Alabama St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4#177 | Tempo | #3871.3 |
| 55.1#38 | eFG% | #22252.2 |
| 14.4#40 | TOV% | #6018.7 |
| 33.6#76 | ORB% | #22631.5 |
| 35.9#158 | FT rate | #32742.3 |
| 10.0#239 | Block% | #8811.0 |
| 50.2#239 | Assist% | #25355.0 |
| 55.0#58 | 2P% | #22752.8 |
| 36.8#34 | 3P% | #19334.2 |
| 74.5#103 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#95 | 3PA rate | #14640.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Alabama St.
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Alcorn St.340 | L 65–77 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Grambling St.326 | L 63–65 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Southern293 | L 64–71 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Alabama A&M313 | W 89–88 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Florida A&M317 | L 63–76 |
Oklahoma
| Sun, Apr 5 | N | West Virginia51 | L 82–89 |
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Baylor32 | W 82–69 |
| Wed, Apr 1 | N | Colorado87 | W 90–86 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Arkansas23 | L 79–82 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Texas A&M33 | W 83–63 |
