Model line
Oklahoma −5.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Oklahoma 72%
Projected tempo
69.7
possessions
Site
Neutral
28%Win probability72%
The model makes Oklahoma a 5.4-point favorite, winning about 72 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Arizona St. offense vs Oklahoma defense
| Arizona St. O | Stat | Oklahoma D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#69 | Tempo | #17768.4 |
| 51.1#188 | eFG% | #17051.2 |
| 17.1#206 | TOV% | #26715.3 |
| 29.8#206 | ORB% | #29733.0 |
| 39.5#67 | FT rate | #15134.0 |
| 9.6#194 | Block% | #12010.4 |
| 53.0#165 | Assist% | #13150.7 |
| 51.7#180 | 2P% | #15051.1 |
| 33.4#198 | 3P% | #19734.2 |
| 75.3#70 | FT% | — |
| 38.4#201 | 3PA rate | #17139.7 |
Oklahoma offense vs Arizona St. defense
| Oklahoma O | Stat | Arizona St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4#177 | Tempo | #6970.6 |
| 55.1#38 | eFG% | #23452.4 |
| 14.4#40 | TOV% | #7018.5 |
| 33.6#76 | ORB% | #33634.9 |
| 35.9#158 | FT rate | #15834.3 |
| 10.0#239 | Block% | #2812.8 |
| 50.2#239 | Assist% | #26355.4 |
| 55.0#58 | 2P% | #21352.3 |
| 36.8#34 | 3P% | #24335.0 |
| 74.5#103 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#95 | 3PA rate | #14940.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Arizona St.
Oklahoma
| Sun, Apr 5 | N | West Virginia51 | L 82–89 |
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Baylor32 | W 82–69 |
| Wed, Apr 1 | N | Colorado87 | W 90–86 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Arkansas23 | L 79–82 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Texas A&M33 | W 83–63 |
