Model line
Oklahoma −37.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Oklahoma >99%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Oklahoma home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Oklahoma a 37.1-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Texas A&M Commerce offense vs Oklahoma defense
| Texas A&M Commerce O | Stat | Oklahoma D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#175 | Tempo | #17768.4 |
| 49.2#286 | eFG% | #17051.2 |
| 19.2#330 | TOV% | #26715.3 |
| 25.7#329 | ORB% | #29733.0 |
| 32.0#257 | FT rate | #15134.0 |
| 10.7#287 | Block% | #12010.4 |
| 62.4#14 | Assist% | #13150.7 |
| 51.2#207 | 2P% | #15051.1 |
| 31.3#313 | 3P% | #19734.2 |
| 67.9#328 | FT% | — |
| 46.2#44 | 3PA rate | #17139.7 |
Oklahoma offense vs Texas A&M Commerce defense
| Oklahoma O | Stat | Texas A&M Commerce D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4#177 | Tempo | #17568.5 |
| 55.1#38 | eFG% | #26752.9 |
| 14.4#40 | TOV% | #15817.0 |
| 33.6#76 | ORB% | #29332.8 |
| 35.9#158 | FT rate | #16434.5 |
| 10.0#239 | Block% | #2208.6 |
| 50.2#239 | Assist% | #28056.0 |
| 55.0#58 | 2P% | #14451.0 |
| 36.8#34 | 3P% | #34737.3 |
| 74.5#103 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#95 | 3PA rate | #23538.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Texas A&M Commerce
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Texas A&M Corpus Chris203 | L 71–84 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | UT Rio Grande Valley251 | L 55–63 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | H | Houston Christian253 | L 68–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Incarnate Word302 | L 73–82 |
| Mon, Feb 16 | H | Southeastern Louisiana269 | W 70–53 |
Oklahoma
| Sun, Apr 5 | N | West Virginia51 | L 82–89 |
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Baylor32 | W 82–69 |
| Wed, Apr 1 | N | Colorado87 | W 90–86 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Arkansas23 | L 79–82 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Texas A&M33 | W 83–63 |
