Model line
Xavier −3.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Xavier 65%
Projected tempo
72.3
possessions
Site
Neutral
65%Win probability35%
The model makes Xavier a 3.8-point favorite, winning about 65 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Xavier offense vs Mississippi St. defense
| Xavier O | Stat | Mississippi St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.2#46 | Tempo | #3271.5 |
| 51.8#160 | eFG% | #15250.9 |
| 13.9#21 | TOV% | #36112.8 |
| 26.5#310 | ORB% | #18930.7 |
| 28.1#341 | FT rate | #11232.3 |
| 10.2#259 | Block% | #8511.1 |
| 62.2#16 | Assist% | #17252.1 |
| 49.8#264 | 2P% | #14051.0 |
| 36.5#41 | 3P% | #17533.9 |
| 72.9#176 | FT% | — |
| 40.6#154 | 3PA rate | #18239.5 |
Mississippi St. offense vs Xavier defense
| Mississippi St. O | Stat | Xavier D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.5#32 | Tempo | #4671.2 |
| 51.5#172 | eFG% | #30254.1 |
| 16.1#146 | TOV% | #25615.5 |
| 29.8#209 | ORB% | #13629.5 |
| 30.7#288 | FT rate | #12232.6 |
| 11.0#303 | Block% | #12610.3 |
| 45.1#333 | Assist% | #35963.3 |
| 53.4#110 | 2P% | #31555.3 |
| 32.4#261 | 3P% | #23834.8 |
| 66.0#353 | FT% | — |
| 40.1#168 | 3PA rate | #26536.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Xavier
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Connecticut3 | L 68–93 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Marquette31 | W 89–87 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Villanova47 | L 78–91 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Seton Hall69 | L 68–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Georgetown65 | W 91–84 |
Mississippi St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Auburn27 | L 61–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Georgia40 | L 96–102 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Florida2 | L 74–108 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Missouri34 | L 64–88 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Alabama16 | L 75–100 |
