Model line
Mississippi St. −23.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Mississippi St. 99%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
Mississippi St. home
1%Win probability99%
The model makes Mississippi St. a 23.8-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Northwestern St. offense vs Mississippi St. defense
| Northwestern St. O | Stat | Mississippi St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.2#329 | Tempo | #3271.5 |
| 48.6#301 | eFG% | #15250.9 |
| 18.3#288 | TOV% | #36112.8 |
| 26.1#320 | ORB% | #18930.7 |
| 40.1#58 | FT rate | #11232.3 |
| 9.6#200 | Block% | #8511.1 |
| 50.7#225 | Assist% | #17252.1 |
| 48.0#310 | 2P% | #14051.0 |
| 33.2#217 | 3P% | #17533.9 |
| 74.0#136 | FT% | — |
| 33.9#299 | 3PA rate | #18239.5 |
Mississippi St. offense vs Northwestern St. defense
| Mississippi St. O | Stat | Northwestern St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.5#32 | Tempo | #32965.2 |
| 51.5#172 | eFG% | #26953.0 |
| 16.1#146 | TOV% | #16116.9 |
| 29.8#209 | ORB% | #28532.6 |
| 30.7#288 | FT rate | #22236.3 |
| 11.0#303 | Block% | #3226.7 |
| 45.1#333 | Assist% | #16851.9 |
| 53.4#110 | 2P% | #23452.9 |
| 32.4#261 | 3P% | #28235.5 |
| 66.0#353 | FT% | — |
| 40.1#168 | 3PA rate | #24037.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Northwestern St.
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Nicholls St.287 | L 47–61 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | UT Rio Grande Valley251 | L 62–74 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Texas A&M Corpus Chris203 | L 59–71 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | H | Incarnate Word302 | W 54–49 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Houston Christian253 | W 71–53 |
Mississippi St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Auburn27 | L 61–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Georgia40 | L 96–102 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Florida2 | L 74–108 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Missouri34 | L 64–88 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Alabama16 | L 75–100 |
