Model line
Duke −9.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Duke 83%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
Neutral
17%Win probability83%
The model makes Duke a 9.0-point favorite, winning about 83 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Georgia offense vs Duke defense
| Georgia O | Stat | Duke D |
|---|---|---|
| 73.7#8 | Tempo | #24367.0 |
| 54.2#62 | eFG% | #945.9 |
| 14.3#30 | TOV% | #11217.7 |
| 34.9#49 | ORB% | #824.9 |
| 36.9#132 | FT rate | #223.0 |
| 9.8#221 | Block% | #12110.3 |
| 48.1#283 | Assist% | #16251.7 |
| 57.0#30 | 2P% | #1446.0 |
| 33.8#183 | 3P% | #2130.5 |
| 75.0#81 | FT% | — |
| 44.3#83 | 3PA rate | #2945.2 |
Duke offense vs Georgia defense
| Duke O | Stat | Georgia D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.0#243 | Tempo | #873.7 |
| 56.6#14 | eFG% | #13250.6 |
| 15.9#128 | TOV% | #7818.4 |
| 38.3#5 | ORB% | #33734.9 |
| 37.9#104 | FT rate | #6330.2 |
| 9.3#161 | Block% | #1014.9 |
| 59.0#42 | Assist% | #6948.1 |
| 60.3#6 | 2P% | #12450.7 |
| 34.6#141 | 3P% | #16033.6 |
| 73.2#162 | FT% | — |
| 44.3#82 | 3PA rate | #24737.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Georgia
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Saint Louis60 | L 77–102 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Ole Miss49 | L 72–76 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Mississippi St.70 | W 102–96 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Alabama16 | W 98–88 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | South Carolina91 | W 87–68 |
Duke
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Connecticut3 | L 72–73 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | St. John's25 | W 80–75 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | TCU50 | W 81–58 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Siena271 | W 71–65 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Virginia14 | W 74–70 |
