Model line
North Carolina −7.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
North Carolina 77%
Projected tempo
71.8
possessions
Site
North Carolina home
23%Win probability77%
The model makes North Carolina a 7.0-point favorite, winning about 77 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Georgia offense vs North Carolina defense
| Georgia O | Stat | North Carolina D |
|---|---|---|
| 73.7#8 | Tempo | #15968.8 |
| 54.2#62 | eFG% | #4548.3 |
| 14.3#30 | TOV% | #34513.6 |
| 34.9#49 | ORB% | #6327.8 |
| 36.9#132 | FT rate | #323.8 |
| 9.8#221 | Block% | #2308.5 |
| 48.1#283 | Assist% | #6247.8 |
| 57.0#30 | 2P% | #1746.2 |
| 33.8#183 | 3P% | #23034.7 |
| 75.0#81 | FT% | — |
| 44.3#83 | 3PA rate | #26137.0 |
North Carolina offense vs Georgia defense
| North Carolina O | Stat | Georgia D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8#159 | Tempo | #873.7 |
| 54.3#57 | eFG% | #13250.6 |
| 13.9#20 | TOV% | #7818.4 |
| 31.2#158 | ORB% | #33734.9 |
| 37.1#126 | FT rate | #6330.2 |
| 9.1#152 | Block% | #1014.9 |
| 57.2#69 | Assist% | #6948.1 |
| 56.5#38 | 2P% | #12450.7 |
| 34.2#164 | 3P% | #16033.6 |
| 68.2#320 | FT% | — |
| 42.2#132 | 3PA rate | #24737.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Georgia
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Saint Louis60 | L 77–102 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Ole Miss49 | L 72–76 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Mississippi St.70 | W 102–96 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Alabama16 | W 98–88 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | South Carolina91 | W 87–68 |
North Carolina
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | VCU53 | L 78–82 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Clemson44 | L 79–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Duke1 | L 61–76 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Clemson44 | W 67–63 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Virginia Tech48 | W 89–82 |
