Model line
Florida −36.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Florida >99%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Florida home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Florida a 36.7-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Vermont offense vs Florida defense
| Vermont O | Stat | Florida D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.4#348 | Tempo | #1672.4 |
| 53.1#103 | eFG% | #1045.9 |
| 14.3#36 | TOV% | #27015.2 |
| 26.2#319 | ORB% | #724.6 |
| 31.1#280 | FT rate | #14433.8 |
| 8.3#86 | Block% | #3412.6 |
| 47.9#291 | Assist% | #1844.3 |
| 55.7#47 | 2P% | #544.6 |
| 33.3#214 | 3P% | #7132.2 |
| 71.9#212 | FT% | — |
| 44.6#77 | 3PA rate | #33633.8 |
Florida offense vs Vermont defense
| Florida O | Stat | Vermont D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.4#16 | Tempo | #34864.4 |
| 54.1#65 | eFG% | #12350.4 |
| 16.3#154 | TOV% | #30514.8 |
| 43.5#2 | ORB% | #223.0 |
| 38.6#86 | FT rate | #22536.4 |
| 7.2#18 | Block% | #2348.5 |
| 54.5#125 | Assist% | #7648.3 |
| 58.4#17 | 2P% | #5448.6 |
| 31.2#314 | 3P% | #26735.3 |
| 71.1#233 | FT% | — |
| 36.9#232 | 3PA rate | #12141.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Vermont
| Sat, Mar 14 | A | UMBC285 | L 59–74 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | H | NJIT336 | W 63–54 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Bryant320 | W 77–57 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Albany330 | W 69–56 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | UMass Lowell306 | W 66–64 |
Florida
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Iowa41 | L 72–73 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Prairie View A&M301 | W 114–55 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Vanderbilt21 | L 74–91 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Kentucky20 | W 71–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Kentucky20 | W 84–77 |
