Model line
Florida −36.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Florida >99%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Florida home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Florida a 36.9-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Jacksonville offense vs Florida defense
| Jacksonville O | Stat | Florida D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.2#327 | Tempo | #1672.4 |
| 50.0#235 | eFG% | #1045.9 |
| 17.2#217 | TOV% | #27015.2 |
| 31.7#135 | ORB% | #724.6 |
| 32.8#239 | FT rate | #14433.8 |
| 7.5#30 | Block% | #3412.6 |
| 44.7#338 | Assist% | #1844.3 |
| 51.5#191 | 2P% | #544.6 |
| 31.7#292 | 3P% | #7132.2 |
| 72.3#195 | FT% | — |
| 37.4#223 | 3PA rate | #33633.8 |
Florida offense vs Jacksonville defense
| Florida O | Stat | Jacksonville D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.4#16 | Tempo | #32765.2 |
| 54.1#65 | eFG% | #32554.8 |
| 16.3#154 | TOV% | #28915.0 |
| 43.5#2 | ORB% | #11129.1 |
| 38.6#86 | FT rate | #33642.7 |
| 7.2#18 | Block% | #2618.0 |
| 54.5#125 | Assist% | #13650.8 |
| 58.4#17 | 2P% | #31055.0 |
| 31.2#314 | 3P% | #31736.3 |
| 71.1#233 | FT% | — |
| 36.9#232 | 3PA rate | #31335.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Jacksonville
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Bellarmine305 | L 79–82 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | North Florida321 | W 85–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Stetson267 | W 89–85 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Austin Peay195 | L 61–65 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Florida Gulf Coast275 | L 84–86 |
Florida
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Iowa41 | L 72–73 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Prairie View A&M301 | W 114–55 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Vanderbilt21 | L 74–91 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Kentucky20 | W 71–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Kentucky20 | W 84–77 |
