Model line
Florida −4.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Florida 69%
Projected tempo
71.8
possessions
Site
Neutral
31%Win probability69%
The model makes Florida a 4.7-point favorite, winning about 69 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Miami FL offense vs Florida defense
| Miami FL O | Stat | Florida D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.3#129 | Tempo | #1672.4 |
| 55.5#30 | eFG% | #1045.9 |
| 16.1#145 | TOV% | #27015.2 |
| 37.1#16 | ORB% | #724.6 |
| 37.8#107 | FT rate | #14433.8 |
| 10.3#261 | Block% | #3412.6 |
| 54.2#136 | Assist% | #1844.3 |
| 56.8#35 | 2P% | #544.6 |
| 35.1#109 | 3P% | #7132.2 |
| 68.1#322 | FT% | — |
| 31.9#330 | 3PA rate | #33633.8 |
Florida offense vs Miami FL defense
| Florida O | Stat | Miami FL D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.4#16 | Tempo | #12969.3 |
| 54.1#65 | eFG% | #18651.5 |
| 16.3#154 | TOV% | #9018.2 |
| 43.5#2 | ORB% | #2026.1 |
| 38.6#86 | FT rate | #4629.1 |
| 7.2#18 | Block% | #1459.9 |
| 54.5#125 | Assist% | #25254.9 |
| 58.4#17 | 2P% | #11250.3 |
| 31.2#314 | 3P% | #27435.4 |
| 71.1#233 | FT% | — |
| 36.9#232 | 3PA rate | #12341.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Miami FL
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Purdue29 | L 69–79 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Missouri34 | W 80–66 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Virginia14 | L 62–84 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Louisville15 | W 78–73 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Louisville15 | L 89–92 |
Florida
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Iowa41 | L 72–73 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Prairie View A&M301 | W 114–55 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Vanderbilt21 | L 74–91 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Kentucky20 | W 71–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Kentucky20 | W 84–77 |
