Model line
Alabama −4.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Alabama 68%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Neutral
68%Win probability32%
The model makes Alabama a 4.6-point favorite, winning about 68 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Alabama offense vs Iowa defense
| Alabama O | Stat | Iowa D |
|---|---|---|
| 74.5#5 | Tempo | #36363.1 |
| 55.4#31 | eFG% | #24552.6 |
| 13.1#9 | TOV% | #1520.6 |
| 32.2#115 | ORB% | #6928.1 |
| 36.9#131 | FT rate | #27838.6 |
| 12.0#340 | Block% | #3256.6 |
| 53.4#153 | Assist% | #14851.1 |
| 57.5#25 | 2P% | #26853.8 |
| 35.7#72 | 3P% | #16533.7 |
| 76.5#41 | FT% | — |
| 53.7#1 | 3PA rate | #18539.4 |
Iowa offense vs Alabama defense
| Iowa O | Stat | Alabama D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.1#363 | Tempo | #574.5 |
| 56.3#20 | eFG% | #7349.2 |
| 15.2#81 | TOV% | #35812.8 |
| 30.6#177 | ORB% | #28832.7 |
| 35.3#171 | FT rate | #10231.9 |
| 8.3#73 | Block% | #6811.4 |
| 57.4#65 | Assist% | #4246.6 |
| 58.5#16 | 2P% | #4548.3 |
| 35.5#91 | 3P% | #17233.9 |
| 77.0#34 | FT% | — |
| 41.9#135 | 3PA rate | #31735.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Alabama
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Michigan24 | L 77–90 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Texas Tech12 | W 90–65 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Hofstra148 | W 90–70 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Ole Miss49 | L 79–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Auburn27 | W 96–84 |
Iowa
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Illinois7 | L 59–71 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Nebraska19 | W 77–71 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Florida2 | W 73–72 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Clemson44 | W 67–61 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Ohio St.26 | L 69–72 |
