Model line
Alabama −1.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Alabama 57%
Projected tempo
73.6
possessions
Site
Neutral
43%Win probability57%
The model makes Alabama a 1.6-point favorite, winning about 57 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
St. John's offense vs Alabama defense
| St. John's O | Stat | Alabama D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.7#67 | Tempo | #574.5 |
| 51.1#191 | eFG% | #7349.2 |
| 14.6#47 | TOV% | #35812.8 |
| 35.9#29 | ORB% | #28832.7 |
| 41.8#34 | FT rate | #10231.9 |
| 9.5#191 | Block% | #6811.4 |
| 57.9#58 | Assist% | #4246.6 |
| 51.8#177 | 2P% | #4548.3 |
| 33.3#212 | 3P% | #17233.9 |
| 72.6#182 | FT% | — |
| 34.2#290 | 3PA rate | #31735.0 |
Alabama offense vs St. John's defense
| Alabama O | Stat | St. John's D |
|---|---|---|
| 74.5#5 | Tempo | #6770.7 |
| 55.4#31 | eFG% | #2447.2 |
| 13.1#9 | TOV% | #4819.1 |
| 32.2#115 | ORB% | #15129.8 |
| 36.9#131 | FT rate | #9731.5 |
| 12.0#340 | Block% | #4212.4 |
| 53.4#153 | Assist% | #4746.9 |
| 57.5#25 | 2P% | #3647.4 |
| 35.7#72 | 3P% | #3831.1 |
| 76.5#41 | FT% | — |
| 53.7#1 | 3PA rate | #34133.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
St. John's
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Duke1 | L 75–80 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Kansas8 | W 67–65 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Northern Iowa129 | W 79–53 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | H | Connecticut3 | W 72–52 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | H | Seton Hall69 | W 78–68 |
Alabama
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Michigan24 | L 77–90 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Texas Tech12 | W 90–65 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Hofstra148 | W 90–70 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Ole Miss49 | L 79–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Auburn27 | W 96–84 |
