Model line
Houston −2.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Houston 61%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
Neutral
39%Win probability61%
The model makes Houston a 2.7-point favorite, winning about 61 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Alabama offense vs Houston defense
| Alabama O | Stat | Houston D |
|---|---|---|
| 74.5#5 | Tempo | #33264.9 |
| 55.4#31 | eFG% | #1246.0 |
| 13.1#9 | TOV% | #1320.7 |
| 32.2#115 | ORB% | #17230.2 |
| 36.9#131 | FT rate | #27738.6 |
| 12.0#340 | Block% | #3512.6 |
| 53.4#153 | Assist% | #21253.4 |
| 57.5#25 | 2P% | #945.2 |
| 35.7#72 | 3P% | #4531.4 |
| 76.5#41 | FT% | — |
| 53.7#1 | 3PA rate | #11341.4 |
Houston offense vs Alabama defense
| Houston O | Stat | Alabama D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.9#332 | Tempo | #574.5 |
| 52.2#138 | eFG% | #7349.2 |
| 12.9#5 | TOV% | #35812.8 |
| 36.0#26 | ORB% | #28832.7 |
| 27.0#351 | FT rate | #10231.9 |
| 6.3#6 | Block% | #6811.4 |
| 52.0#192 | Assist% | #4246.6 |
| 52.0#167 | 2P% | #4548.3 |
| 34.9#126 | 3P% | #17233.9 |
| 77.2#29 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#156 | 3PA rate | #31735.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Alabama
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Michigan24 | L 77–90 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Texas Tech12 | W 90–65 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Hofstra148 | W 90–70 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Ole Miss49 | L 79–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Auburn27 | W 96–84 |
Houston
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Illinois7 | L 55–65 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Texas A&M33 | W 88–57 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Idaho238 | W 78–47 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Arizona5 | L 74–79 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Kansas8 | W 69–47 |
