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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Alabama · #16 · SEC · 0–0Miami FL · #13 · ACC · 0–0Wed, Dec 2 · 9:15 PM ETESPNWatsco Center · Coral Gables, FL
Model line
Miami FL −6.1
Win probability
Miami FL 74%
Projected tempo
72.9
possessions
Site
Miami FL home
26%Win probability74%

The model makes Miami FL a 6.1-point favorite, winning about 74 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Alabama offense vs Miami FL defense

Alabama OStatMiami FL D
74.5#5Tempo#12969.3
55.4#31eFG%#18651.5
13.1#9TOV%#9018.2
32.2#115ORB%#2026.1
36.9#131FT rate#4629.1
12.0#340Block%#1459.9
53.4#153Assist%#25254.9
57.5#252P%#11250.3
35.7#723P%#27435.4
76.5#41FT%—
53.7#13PA rate#12341.1

Miami FL offense vs Alabama defense

Miami FL OStatAlabama D
69.3#129Tempo#574.5
55.5#30eFG%#7349.2
16.1#145TOV%#35812.8
37.1#16ORB%#28832.7
37.8#107FT rate#10231.9
10.3#261Block%#6811.4
54.2#136Assist%#4246.6
56.8#352P%#4548.3
35.1#1093P%#17233.9
68.1#322FT%—
31.9#3303PA rate#31735.0

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Alabama

Fri, Mar 27NMichigan24L 77–90
Sun, Mar 22NTexas Tech12W 90–65
Fri, Mar 20NHofstra148W 90–70
Fri, Mar 13NOle Miss49L 79–80
Sat, Mar 7HAuburn27W 96–84

Miami FL

Sun, Mar 22NPurdue29L 69–79
Fri, Mar 20NMissouri34W 80–66
Fri, Mar 13NVirginia14L 62–84
Thu, Mar 12NLouisville15W 78–73
Sat, Mar 7HLouisville15L 89–92