Model line
Alabama −3.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Alabama 65%
Projected tempo
72.6
possessions
Site
Neutral
35%Win probability65%
The model makes Alabama a 3.5-point favorite, winning about 65 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Baylor offense vs Alabama defense
| Baylor O | Stat | Alabama D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.6#109 | Tempo | #574.5 |
| 53.8#72 | eFG% | #7349.2 |
| 16.5#161 | TOV% | #35812.8 |
| 37.5#12 | ORB% | #28832.7 |
| 34.8#187 | FT rate | #10231.9 |
| 8.8#129 | Block% | #6811.4 |
| 53.3#156 | Assist% | #4246.6 |
| 55.2#53 | 2P% | #4548.3 |
| 34.5#147 | 3P% | #17233.9 |
| 73.3#158 | FT% | — |
| 39.6#180 | 3PA rate | #31735.0 |
Alabama offense vs Baylor defense
| Alabama O | Stat | Baylor D |
|---|---|---|
| 74.5#5 | Tempo | #10969.6 |
| 55.4#31 | eFG% | #23852.5 |
| 13.1#9 | TOV% | #21716.1 |
| 32.2#115 | ORB% | #26732.2 |
| 36.9#131 | FT rate | #6130.2 |
| 12.0#340 | Block% | #1549.7 |
| 53.4#153 | Assist% | #7348.3 |
| 57.5#25 | 2P% | #20352.2 |
| 35.7#72 | 3P% | #27835.5 |
| 76.5#41 | FT% | — |
| 53.7#1 | 3PA rate | #32334.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Baylor
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Oklahoma22 | L 69–82 |
| Wed, Apr 1 | N | Minnesota63 | W 67–48 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Arizona St.68 | L 79–83 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Utah88 | W 101–75 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Houston4 | L 64–77 |
Alabama
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Michigan24 | L 77–90 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Texas Tech12 | W 90–65 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Hofstra148 | W 90–70 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Ole Miss49 | L 79–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Auburn27 | W 96–84 |
