Model line
Alabama −29.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Alabama >99%
Projected tempo
74.3
possessions
Site
Alabama home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Alabama a 29.4-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Kennesaw St. offense vs Alabama defense
| Kennesaw St. O | Stat | Alabama D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.8#28 | Tempo | #574.5 |
| 50.4#217 | eFG% | #7349.2 |
| 16.7#175 | TOV% | #35812.8 |
| 35.2#45 | ORB% | #28832.7 |
| 45.1#5 | FT rate | #10231.9 |
| 13.0#354 | Block% | #6811.4 |
| 50.9#220 | Assist% | #4246.6 |
| 50.5#235 | 2P% | #4548.3 |
| 33.4#202 | 3P% | #17233.9 |
| 70.1#271 | FT% | — |
| 42.5#127 | 3PA rate | #31735.0 |
Alabama offense vs Kennesaw St. defense
| Alabama O | Stat | Kennesaw St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 74.5#5 | Tempo | #2871.8 |
| 55.4#31 | eFG% | #4348.3 |
| 13.1#9 | TOV% | #22416.0 |
| 32.2#115 | ORB% | #23131.6 |
| 36.9#131 | FT rate | #35847.1 |
| 12.0#340 | Block% | #1314.5 |
| 53.4#153 | Assist% | #11350.0 |
| 57.5#25 | 2P% | #2847.1 |
| 35.7#72 | 3P% | #15433.5 |
| 76.5#41 | FT% | — |
| 53.7#1 | 3PA rate | #23837.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Kennesaw St.
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Gonzaga17 | L 64–73 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Louisiana Tech282 | W 71–60 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Sam Houston St.171 | W 79–73 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Western Kentucky119 | W 96–87 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | New Mexico St.140 | L 76–79 |
Alabama
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Michigan24 | L 77–90 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Texas Tech12 | W 90–65 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Hofstra148 | W 90–70 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Ole Miss49 | L 79–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Auburn27 | W 96–84 |
