Model line
Alabama −32.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Alabama >99%
Projected tempo
73.6
possessions
Site
Alabama home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Alabama a 32.8-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Sam Houston St. offense vs Alabama defense
| Sam Houston St. O | Stat | Alabama D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#73 | Tempo | #574.5 |
| 52.5#126 | eFG% | #7349.2 |
| 16.8#186 | TOV% | #35812.8 |
| 35.9#28 | ORB% | #28832.7 |
| 34.4#200 | FT rate | #10231.9 |
| 8.4#95 | Block% | #6811.4 |
| 52.6#176 | Assist% | #4246.6 |
| 50.6#231 | 2P% | #4548.3 |
| 37.2#24 | 3P% | #17233.9 |
| 71.6#219 | FT% | — |
| 35.8#253 | 3PA rate | #31735.0 |
Alabama offense vs Sam Houston St. defense
| Alabama O | Stat | Sam Houston St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 74.5#5 | Tempo | #7370.6 |
| 55.4#31 | eFG% | #17951.4 |
| 13.1#9 | TOV% | #22116.1 |
| 32.2#115 | ORB% | #16530.1 |
| 36.9#131 | FT rate | #22936.7 |
| 12.0#340 | Block% | #2847.6 |
| 53.4#153 | Assist% | #12350.4 |
| 57.5#25 | 2P% | #24953.3 |
| 35.7#72 | 3P% | #8832.5 |
| 76.5#41 | FT% | — |
| 53.7#1 | 3PA rate | #10041.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Sam Houston St.
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | New Mexico66 | L 83–107 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Kennesaw St.146 | L 73–79 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | New Mexico St.140 | W 69–61 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Liberty149 | L 72–79 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Delaware258 | L 80–83 |
Alabama
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Michigan24 | L 77–90 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Texas Tech12 | W 90–65 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Hofstra148 | W 90–70 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Ole Miss49 | L 79–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Auburn27 | W 96–84 |
