Model line
Central Arkansas −8.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Central Arkansas 82%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
Central Arkansas home
19%Win probability82%
The model makes Central Arkansas a 8.5-point favorite, winning about 82 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Austin Peay offense vs Central Arkansas defense
| Austin Peay O | Stat | Central Arkansas D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.1#89 | Tempo | #15368.9 |
| 53.0#104 | eFG% | #32654.9 |
| 15.4#95 | TOV% | #5019.0 |
| 29.7#215 | ORB% | #4827.4 |
| 37.6#112 | FT rate | #6030.1 |
| 8.7#118 | Block% | #3176.8 |
| 56.0#88 | Assist% | #35562.3 |
| 53.0#127 | 2P% | #34757.3 |
| 35.3#97 | 3P% | #25535.2 |
| 73.4#155 | FT% | — |
| 38.0#215 | 3PA rate | #252.3 |
Central Arkansas offense vs Austin Peay defense
| Central Arkansas O | Stat | Austin Peay D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.9#153 | Tempo | #8970.1 |
| 54.0#69 | eFG% | #22352.2 |
| 15.4#97 | TOV% | #10117.9 |
| 28.8#238 | ORB% | #9828.9 |
| 31.2#276 | FT rate | #12832.8 |
| 10.7#280 | Block% | #3306.4 |
| 58.0#55 | Assist% | #17852.5 |
| 54.7#64 | 2P% | #27253.9 |
| 35.5#89 | 3P% | #13433.2 |
| 70.7#246 | FT% | — |
| 48.7#21 | 3PA rate | #13240.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Austin Peay
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Queens182 | L 83–90 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Stetson267 | W 69–60 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Bellarmine305 | L 97–111 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Central Arkansas177 | L 88–93 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Jacksonville230 | W 65–61 |
Central Arkansas
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Queens182 | L 93–98 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Florida Gulf Coast275 | W 73–63 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Bellarmine305 | W 86–73 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Queens182 | W 84–79 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Austin Peay195 | W 93–88 |
