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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Tarleton St. · #178 · UAC · 0–0North Alabama · #315 · UAC · 0–0Sat, Mar 6 · 8:00 PM ETCB&S Bank Arena at Flowers Hall · Florence, AL
Model line
Tarleton St. −0.7
Win probability
Tarleton St. 53%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
North Alabama home
53%Win probability47%

The model makes Tarleton St. a 0.7-point favorite, winning about 53 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Tarleton St. offense vs North Alabama defense

Tarleton St. OStatNorth Alabama D
70.2#87Tempo#31265.6
48.3#307eFG%#33655.2
20.0#348TOV%#31914.5
31.5#143ORB%#26832.2
41.9#33FT rate#6830.3
9.6#203Block%#8611.1
41.7#355Assist%#26555.4
48.2#3032P%#33856.5
32.5#2573P%#29235.7
74.2#121FT%—
24.2#3653PA rate#5843.3

North Alabama offense vs Tarleton St. defense

North Alabama OStatTarleton St. D
65.6#312Tempo#8770.2
48.0#313eFG%#29053.6
17.5#236TOV%#323.4
31.2#157ORB%#34035.1
37.6#113FT rate#35947.7
9.9#232Block%#1599.7
40.5#358Assist%#26955.5
49.1#2802P%#29354.4
30.7#3273P%#24234.9
68.4#315FT%—
33.7#3053PA rate#13840.7

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Tarleton St.

Wed, Mar 11NAbilene Christian242L 78–84
Thu, Mar 5HUT Arlington232L 60–65
Sat, Feb 28ACal Baptist216L 67–82
Thu, Feb 26AUtah Valley120L 72–79
Sat, Feb 21HUtah Tech254L 72–80

North Alabama

Wed, Mar 4NFlorida Gulf Coast275L 58–69
Sat, Feb 28AWest Georgia322L 63–75
Wed, Feb 25HBellarmine305W 73–68
Sat, Feb 21ALipscomb199L 51–73
Wed, Feb 18HQueens182L 78–85