Model line
Little Rock −7.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Little Rock 79%
Projected tempo
71.2
possessions
Site
Little Rock home
21%Win probability79%
The model makes Little Rock a 7.7-point favorite, winning about 79 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Abilene Christian offense vs Little Rock defense
| Abilene Christian O | Stat | Little Rock D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.9#152 | Tempo | #21967.6 |
| 47.5#326 | eFG% | #20051.8 |
| 20.8#355 | TOV% | #7218.5 |
| 31.0#163 | ORB% | #35736.6 |
| 41.7#35 | FT rate | #13433.1 |
| 12.6#350 | Block% | #3912.5 |
| 54.1#137 | Assist% | #21853.7 |
| 48.0#309 | 2P% | #18651.9 |
| 31.0#319 | 3P% | #21134.4 |
| 70.4#256 | FT% | — |
| 32.8#318 | 3PA rate | #15140.3 |
Little Rock offense vs Abilene Christian defense
| Little Rock O | Stat | Abilene Christian D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#219 | Tempo | #15268.9 |
| 49.4#271 | eFG% | #35256.5 |
| 18.4#290 | TOV% | #223.4 |
| 31.5#142 | ORB% | #10829.1 |
| 27.7#345 | FT rate | #36553.5 |
| 5.6#1 | Block% | #2897.5 |
| 52.2#188 | Assist% | #12950.7 |
| 47.9#312 | 2P% | #28754.4 |
| 35.3#100 | 3P% | #36540.9 |
| 68.0#326 | FT% | — |
| 31.0#339 | 3PA rate | #36030.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Abilene Christian
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Utah Tech254 | L 74–80 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Tarleton St.178 | W 84–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | UT Arlington232 | L 57–64 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Cal Baptist216 | L 48–87 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Utah Valley120 | L 67–74 |
Little Rock
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Lindenwood303 | L 62–72 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Southern Indiana324 | W 89–70 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Morehead St.329 | L 70–76 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Southeast Missouri266 | L 65–70 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Tennessee Martin312 | W 67–65 |
