Model line
Little Rock −5.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Little Rock 70%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
Little Rock home
30%Win probability70%
The model makes Little Rock a 5.1-point favorite, winning about 70 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Austin Peay offense vs Little Rock defense
| Austin Peay O | Stat | Little Rock D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.1#89 | Tempo | #21967.6 |
| 53.0#104 | eFG% | #20051.8 |
| 15.4#95 | TOV% | #7218.5 |
| 29.7#215 | ORB% | #35736.6 |
| 37.6#112 | FT rate | #13433.1 |
| 8.7#118 | Block% | #3912.5 |
| 56.0#88 | Assist% | #21853.7 |
| 53.0#127 | 2P% | #18651.9 |
| 35.3#97 | 3P% | #21134.4 |
| 73.4#155 | FT% | — |
| 38.0#215 | 3PA rate | #15140.3 |
Little Rock offense vs Austin Peay defense
| Little Rock O | Stat | Austin Peay D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#219 | Tempo | #8970.1 |
| 49.4#271 | eFG% | #22352.2 |
| 18.4#290 | TOV% | #10117.9 |
| 31.5#142 | ORB% | #9828.9 |
| 27.7#345 | FT rate | #12832.8 |
| 5.6#1 | Block% | #3306.4 |
| 52.2#188 | Assist% | #17852.5 |
| 47.9#312 | 2P% | #27253.9 |
| 35.3#100 | 3P% | #13433.2 |
| 68.0#326 | FT% | — |
| 31.0#339 | 3PA rate | #13240.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Austin Peay
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Queens182 | L 83–90 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Stetson267 | W 69–60 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Bellarmine305 | L 97–111 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Central Arkansas177 | L 88–93 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Jacksonville230 | W 65–61 |
Little Rock
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Lindenwood303 | L 62–72 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Southern Indiana324 | W 89–70 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Morehead St.329 | L 70–76 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Southeast Missouri266 | L 65–70 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Tennessee Martin312 | W 67–65 |
