Model line
Central Arkansas −1.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Central Arkansas 55%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
North Alabama home
55%Win probability45%
The model makes Central Arkansas a 1.1-point favorite, winning about 55 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Central Arkansas offense vs North Alabama defense
| Central Arkansas O | Stat | North Alabama D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.9#153 | Tempo | #31265.6 |
| 54.0#69 | eFG% | #33655.2 |
| 15.4#97 | TOV% | #31914.5 |
| 28.8#238 | ORB% | #26832.2 |
| 31.2#276 | FT rate | #6830.3 |
| 10.7#280 | Block% | #8611.1 |
| 58.0#55 | Assist% | #26555.4 |
| 54.7#64 | 2P% | #33856.5 |
| 35.5#89 | 3P% | #29235.7 |
| 70.7#246 | FT% | — |
| 48.7#21 | 3PA rate | #5843.3 |
North Alabama offense vs Central Arkansas defense
| North Alabama O | Stat | Central Arkansas D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.6#312 | Tempo | #15368.9 |
| 48.0#313 | eFG% | #32654.9 |
| 17.5#236 | TOV% | #5019.0 |
| 31.2#157 | ORB% | #4827.4 |
| 37.6#113 | FT rate | #6030.1 |
| 9.9#232 | Block% | #3176.8 |
| 40.5#358 | Assist% | #35562.3 |
| 49.1#280 | 2P% | #34757.3 |
| 30.7#327 | 3P% | #25535.2 |
| 68.4#315 | FT% | — |
| 33.7#305 | 3PA rate | #252.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Central Arkansas
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Queens182 | L 93–98 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Florida Gulf Coast275 | W 73–63 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Bellarmine305 | W 86–73 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Queens182 | W 84–79 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Austin Peay195 | W 93–88 |
North Alabama
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Florida Gulf Coast275 | L 58–69 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | West Georgia322 | L 63–75 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Bellarmine305 | W 73–68 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Lipscomb199 | L 51–73 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | Queens182 | L 78–85 |
