Model line
Little Rock −7.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Little Rock 77%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
Little Rock home
23%Win probability77%
The model makes Little Rock a 7.1-point favorite, winning about 77 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UT Arlington offense vs Little Rock defense
| UT Arlington O | Stat | Little Rock D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#274 | Tempo | #21967.6 |
| 47.2#332 | eFG% | #20051.8 |
| 20.7#354 | TOV% | #7218.5 |
| 34.9#51 | ORB% | #35736.6 |
| 42.5#24 | FT rate | #13433.1 |
| 9.5#192 | Block% | #3912.5 |
| 46.4#310 | Assist% | #21853.7 |
| 48.8#289 | 2P% | #18651.9 |
| 29.1#352 | 3P% | #21134.4 |
| 72.3#198 | FT% | — |
| 30.7#346 | 3PA rate | #15140.3 |
Little Rock offense vs UT Arlington defense
| Little Rock O | Stat | UT Arlington D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#219 | Tempo | #27466.5 |
| 49.4#271 | eFG% | #3047.4 |
| 18.4#290 | TOV% | #9918.0 |
| 31.5#142 | ORB% | #16830.1 |
| 27.7#345 | FT rate | #31240.9 |
| 5.6#1 | Block% | #1779.3 |
| 52.2#188 | Assist% | #8949.1 |
| 47.9#312 | 2P% | #13450.9 |
| 35.3#100 | 3P% | #126.9 |
| 68.0#326 | FT% | — |
| 31.0#339 | 3PA rate | #35332.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UT Arlington
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Utah Valley120 | L 65–67 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Southern Utah246 | W 69–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Abilene Christian242 | W 64–57 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Tarleton St.178 | W 65–60 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Cal Baptist216 | L 56–68 |
Little Rock
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Lindenwood303 | L 62–72 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Southern Indiana324 | W 89–70 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Morehead St.329 | L 70–76 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Southeast Missouri266 | L 65–70 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Tennessee Martin312 | W 67–65 |
