Model line
Tarleton St. −11.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Tarleton St. 89%
Projected tempo
71.2
possessions
Site
Tarleton St. home
12%Win probability89%
The model makes Tarleton St. a 11.4-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Abilene Christian offense vs Tarleton St. defense
| Abilene Christian O | Stat | Tarleton St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.9#152 | Tempo | #8770.2 |
| 47.5#326 | eFG% | #29053.6 |
| 20.8#355 | TOV% | #323.4 |
| 31.0#163 | ORB% | #34035.1 |
| 41.7#35 | FT rate | #35947.7 |
| 12.6#350 | Block% | #1599.7 |
| 54.1#137 | Assist% | #26955.5 |
| 48.0#309 | 2P% | #29354.4 |
| 31.0#319 | 3P% | #24234.9 |
| 70.4#256 | FT% | — |
| 32.8#318 | 3PA rate | #13840.7 |
Tarleton St. offense vs Abilene Christian defense
| Tarleton St. O | Stat | Abilene Christian D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.2#87 | Tempo | #15268.9 |
| 48.3#307 | eFG% | #35256.5 |
| 20.0#348 | TOV% | #223.4 |
| 31.5#143 | ORB% | #10829.1 |
| 41.9#33 | FT rate | #36553.5 |
| 9.6#203 | Block% | #2897.5 |
| 41.7#355 | Assist% | #12950.7 |
| 48.2#303 | 2P% | #28754.4 |
| 32.5#257 | 3P% | #36540.9 |
| 74.2#121 | FT% | — |
| 24.2#365 | 3PA rate | #36030.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Abilene Christian
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Utah Tech254 | L 74–80 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Tarleton St.178 | W 84–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | UT Arlington232 | L 57–64 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Cal Baptist216 | L 48–87 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Utah Valley120 | L 67–74 |
Tarleton St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Abilene Christian242 | L 78–84 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | UT Arlington232 | L 60–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Cal Baptist216 | L 67–82 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Utah Valley120 | L 72–79 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Utah Tech254 | L 72–80 |