Model line
Central Arkansas −9.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Central Arkansas 85%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
Central Arkansas home
15%Win probability85%
The model makes Central Arkansas a 9.7-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Little Rock offense vs Central Arkansas defense
| Little Rock O | Stat | Central Arkansas D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#219 | Tempo | #15368.9 |
| 49.4#271 | eFG% | #32654.9 |
| 18.4#290 | TOV% | #5019.0 |
| 31.5#142 | ORB% | #4827.4 |
| 27.7#345 | FT rate | #6030.1 |
| 5.6#1 | Block% | #3176.8 |
| 52.2#188 | Assist% | #35562.3 |
| 47.9#312 | 2P% | #34757.3 |
| 35.3#100 | 3P% | #25535.2 |
| 68.0#326 | FT% | — |
| 31.0#339 | 3PA rate | #252.3 |
Central Arkansas offense vs Little Rock defense
| Central Arkansas O | Stat | Little Rock D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.9#153 | Tempo | #21967.6 |
| 54.0#69 | eFG% | #20051.8 |
| 15.4#97 | TOV% | #7218.5 |
| 28.8#238 | ORB% | #35736.6 |
| 31.2#276 | FT rate | #13433.1 |
| 10.7#280 | Block% | #3912.5 |
| 58.0#55 | Assist% | #21853.7 |
| 54.7#64 | 2P% | #18651.9 |
| 35.5#89 | 3P% | #21134.4 |
| 70.7#246 | FT% | — |
| 48.7#21 | 3PA rate | #15140.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Little Rock
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Lindenwood303 | L 62–72 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Southern Indiana324 | W 89–70 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Morehead St.329 | L 70–76 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Southeast Missouri266 | L 65–70 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Tennessee Martin312 | W 67–65 |
Central Arkansas
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Queens182 | L 93–98 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Florida Gulf Coast275 | W 73–63 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Bellarmine305 | W 86–73 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Queens182 | W 84–79 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Austin Peay195 | W 93–88 |
