Model line
UT Arlington −4.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UT Arlington 68%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
UT Arlington home
32%Win probability68%
The model makes UT Arlington a 4.5-point favorite, winning about 68 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Tarleton St. offense vs UT Arlington defense
| Tarleton St. O | Stat | UT Arlington D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.2#87 | Tempo | #27466.5 |
| 48.3#307 | eFG% | #3047.4 |
| 20.0#348 | TOV% | #9918.0 |
| 31.5#143 | ORB% | #16830.1 |
| 41.9#33 | FT rate | #31240.9 |
| 9.6#203 | Block% | #1779.3 |
| 41.7#355 | Assist% | #8949.1 |
| 48.2#303 | 2P% | #13450.9 |
| 32.5#257 | 3P% | #126.9 |
| 74.2#121 | FT% | — |
| 24.2#365 | 3PA rate | #35332.3 |
UT Arlington offense vs Tarleton St. defense
| UT Arlington O | Stat | Tarleton St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#274 | Tempo | #8770.2 |
| 47.2#332 | eFG% | #29053.6 |
| 20.7#354 | TOV% | #323.4 |
| 34.9#51 | ORB% | #34035.1 |
| 42.5#24 | FT rate | #35947.7 |
| 9.5#192 | Block% | #1599.7 |
| 46.4#310 | Assist% | #26955.5 |
| 48.8#289 | 2P% | #29354.4 |
| 29.1#352 | 3P% | #24234.9 |
| 72.3#198 | FT% | — |
| 30.7#346 | 3PA rate | #13840.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Tarleton St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Abilene Christian242 | L 78–84 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | UT Arlington232 | L 60–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Cal Baptist216 | L 67–82 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Utah Valley120 | L 72–79 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Utah Tech254 | L 72–80 |
UT Arlington
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Utah Valley120 | L 65–67 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Southern Utah246 | W 69–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Abilene Christian242 | W 64–57 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Tarleton St.178 | W 65–60 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Cal Baptist216 | L 56–68 |
