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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Central Arkansas · #177 · UAC · 0–0Abilene Christian · #242 · UAC · 0–0Wed, Feb 3 · 8:00 PM ETMoody Coliseum (Abilene) · Abilene, TX
Model line
Abilene Christian −3.9
Win probability
Abilene Christian 66%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
Abilene Christian home
34%Win probability66%

The model makes Abilene Christian a 3.9-point favorite, winning about 66 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Central Arkansas offense vs Abilene Christian defense

Central Arkansas OStatAbilene Christian D
68.9#153Tempo#15268.9
54.0#69eFG%#35256.5
15.4#97TOV%#223.4
28.8#238ORB%#10829.1
31.2#276FT rate#36553.5
10.7#280Block%#2897.5
58.0#55Assist%#12950.7
54.7#642P%#28754.4
35.5#893P%#36540.9
70.7#246FT%—
48.7#213PA rate#36030.0

Abilene Christian offense vs Central Arkansas defense

Abilene Christian OStatCentral Arkansas D
68.9#152Tempo#15368.9
47.5#326eFG%#32654.9
20.8#355TOV%#5019.0
31.0#163ORB%#4827.4
41.7#35FT rate#6030.1
12.6#350Block%#3176.8
54.1#137Assist%#35562.3
48.0#3092P%#34757.3
31.0#3193P%#25535.2
70.4#256FT%—
32.8#3183PA rate#252.3

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Central Arkansas

Sun, Mar 8NQueens182L 93–98
Sat, Mar 7NFlorida Gulf Coast275W 73–63
Fri, Mar 6NBellarmine305W 86–73
Sat, Feb 28HQueens182W 84–79
Wed, Feb 25AAustin Peay195W 93–88

Abilene Christian

Thu, Mar 12NUtah Tech254L 74–80
Wed, Mar 11NTarleton St.178W 84–78
Sat, Mar 7HUT Arlington232L 57–64
Thu, Mar 5ACal Baptist216L 48–87
Sat, Feb 28AUtah Valley120L 67–74