Model line
Little Rock −12.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Little Rock 90%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
Little Rock home
10%Win probability90%
The model makes Little Rock a 12.0-point favorite, winning about 90 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
North Alabama offense vs Little Rock defense
| North Alabama O | Stat | Little Rock D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.6#312 | Tempo | #21967.6 |
| 48.0#313 | eFG% | #20051.8 |
| 17.5#236 | TOV% | #7218.5 |
| 31.2#157 | ORB% | #35736.6 |
| 37.6#113 | FT rate | #13433.1 |
| 9.9#232 | Block% | #3912.5 |
| 40.5#358 | Assist% | #21853.7 |
| 49.1#280 | 2P% | #18651.9 |
| 30.7#327 | 3P% | #21134.4 |
| 68.4#315 | FT% | — |
| 33.7#305 | 3PA rate | #15140.3 |
Little Rock offense vs North Alabama defense
| Little Rock O | Stat | North Alabama D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#219 | Tempo | #31265.6 |
| 49.4#271 | eFG% | #33655.2 |
| 18.4#290 | TOV% | #31914.5 |
| 31.5#142 | ORB% | #26832.2 |
| 27.7#345 | FT rate | #6830.3 |
| 5.6#1 | Block% | #8611.1 |
| 52.2#188 | Assist% | #26555.4 |
| 47.9#312 | 2P% | #33856.5 |
| 35.3#100 | 3P% | #29235.7 |
| 68.0#326 | FT% | — |
| 31.0#339 | 3PA rate | #5843.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
North Alabama
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Florida Gulf Coast275 | L 58–69 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | West Georgia322 | L 63–75 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Bellarmine305 | W 73–68 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Lipscomb199 | L 51–73 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | Queens182 | L 78–85 |
Little Rock
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Lindenwood303 | L 62–72 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Southern Indiana324 | W 89–70 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Morehead St.329 | L 70–76 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Southeast Missouri266 | L 65–70 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Tennessee Martin312 | W 67–65 |
