Model line
Little Rock −10.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Little Rock 88%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
Little Rock home
13%Win probability88%
The model makes Little Rock a 10.9-point favorite, winning about 88 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Eastern Kentucky offense vs Little Rock defense
| Eastern Kentucky O | Stat | Little Rock D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.7#163 | Tempo | #21967.6 |
| 52.1#144 | eFG% | #20051.8 |
| 16.9#191 | TOV% | #7218.5 |
| 32.5#103 | ORB% | #35736.6 |
| 30.7#286 | FT rate | #13433.1 |
| 8.4#90 | Block% | #3912.5 |
| 53.3#157 | Assist% | #21853.7 |
| 51.6#187 | 2P% | #18651.9 |
| 35.0#113 | 3P% | #21134.4 |
| 72.4#193 | FT% | — |
| 50.8#10 | 3PA rate | #15140.3 |
Little Rock offense vs Eastern Kentucky defense
| Little Rock O | Stat | Eastern Kentucky D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#219 | Tempo | #16368.7 |
| 49.4#271 | eFG% | #34556.1 |
| 18.4#290 | TOV% | #30314.8 |
| 31.5#142 | ORB% | #24031.7 |
| 27.7#345 | FT rate | #27238.5 |
| 5.6#1 | Block% | #2368.4 |
| 52.2#188 | Assist% | #24054.5 |
| 47.9#312 | 2P% | #34857.4 |
| 35.3#100 | 3P% | #31136.2 |
| 68.0#326 | FT% | — |
| 31.0#339 | 3PA rate | #10641.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Eastern Kentucky
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Stetson267 | L 76–92 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Lipscomb199 | L 77–80 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Queens182 | L 79–96 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Bellarmine305 | W 95–92 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | West Georgia322 | W 81–80 |
Little Rock
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Lindenwood303 | L 62–72 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Southern Indiana324 | W 89–70 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Morehead St.329 | L 70–76 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Southeast Missouri266 | L 65–70 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Tennessee Martin312 | W 67–65 |
