Model line
Austin Peay −6.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Austin Peay 76%
Projected tempo
71.2
possessions
Site
Austin Peay home
24%Win probability76%
The model makes Austin Peay a 6.7-point favorite, winning about 76 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Tarleton St. offense vs Austin Peay defense
| Tarleton St. O | Stat | Austin Peay D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.2#87 | Tempo | #8970.1 |
| 48.3#307 | eFG% | #22352.2 |
| 20.0#348 | TOV% | #10117.9 |
| 31.5#143 | ORB% | #9828.9 |
| 41.9#33 | FT rate | #12832.8 |
| 9.6#203 | Block% | #3306.4 |
| 41.7#355 | Assist% | #17852.5 |
| 48.2#303 | 2P% | #27253.9 |
| 32.5#257 | 3P% | #13433.2 |
| 74.2#121 | FT% | — |
| 24.2#365 | 3PA rate | #13240.8 |
Austin Peay offense vs Tarleton St. defense
| Austin Peay O | Stat | Tarleton St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.1#89 | Tempo | #8770.2 |
| 53.0#104 | eFG% | #29053.6 |
| 15.4#95 | TOV% | #323.4 |
| 29.7#215 | ORB% | #34035.1 |
| 37.6#112 | FT rate | #35947.7 |
| 8.7#118 | Block% | #1599.7 |
| 56.0#88 | Assist% | #26955.5 |
| 53.0#127 | 2P% | #29354.4 |
| 35.3#97 | 3P% | #24234.9 |
| 73.4#155 | FT% | — |
| 38.0#215 | 3PA rate | #13840.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Tarleton St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Abilene Christian242 | L 78–84 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | UT Arlington232 | L 60–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Cal Baptist216 | L 67–82 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Utah Valley120 | L 72–79 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Utah Tech254 | L 72–80 |
Austin Peay
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Queens182 | L 83–90 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Stetson267 | W 69–60 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Bellarmine305 | L 97–111 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Central Arkansas177 | L 88–93 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Jacksonville230 | W 65–61 |
