Model line
Little Rock −12.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Little Rock 90%
Projected tempo
71.4
possessions
Site
Little Rock home
10%Win probability90%
The model makes Little Rock a 12.4-point favorite, winning about 90 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
West Georgia offense vs Little Rock defense
| West Georgia O | Stat | Little Rock D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.2#88 | Tempo | #21967.6 |
| 49.6#263 | eFG% | #20051.8 |
| 15.9#135 | TOV% | #7218.5 |
| 31.5#144 | ORB% | #35736.6 |
| 29.2#330 | FT rate | #13433.1 |
| 5.6#2 | Block% | #3912.5 |
| 44.3#343 | Assist% | #21853.7 |
| 49.6#270 | 2P% | #18651.9 |
| 33.1#225 | 3P% | #21134.4 |
| 70.4#261 | FT% | — |
| 33.0#315 | 3PA rate | #15140.3 |
Little Rock offense vs West Georgia defense
| Little Rock O | Stat | West Georgia D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#219 | Tempo | #8870.2 |
| 49.4#271 | eFG% | #28253.4 |
| 18.4#290 | TOV% | #31314.7 |
| 31.5#142 | ORB% | #10429.0 |
| 27.7#345 | FT rate | #23436.9 |
| 5.6#1 | Block% | #4512.4 |
| 52.2#188 | Assist% | #12650.5 |
| 47.9#312 | 2P% | #32455.7 |
| 35.3#100 | 3P% | #13133.1 |
| 68.0#326 | FT% | — |
| 31.0#339 | 3PA rate | #25537.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
West Georgia
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Queens182 | L 63–71 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | North Florida321 | W 93–85 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | North Alabama315 | W 75–63 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Lipscomb199 | W 84–78 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Queens182 | L 84–91 |
Little Rock
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Lindenwood303 | L 62–72 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Southern Indiana324 | W 89–70 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Morehead St.329 | L 70–76 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Southeast Missouri266 | L 65–70 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Tennessee Martin312 | W 67–65 |
