Model line
Eastern Kentucky −2.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Eastern Kentucky 60%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
Eastern Kentucky home
40%Win probability60%
The model makes Eastern Kentucky a 2.4-point favorite, winning about 60 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Tarleton St. offense vs Eastern Kentucky defense
| Tarleton St. O | Stat | Eastern Kentucky D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.2#87 | Tempo | #16368.7 |
| 48.3#307 | eFG% | #34556.1 |
| 20.0#348 | TOV% | #30314.8 |
| 31.5#143 | ORB% | #24031.7 |
| 41.9#33 | FT rate | #27238.5 |
| 9.6#203 | Block% | #2368.4 |
| 41.7#355 | Assist% | #24054.5 |
| 48.2#303 | 2P% | #34857.4 |
| 32.5#257 | 3P% | #31136.2 |
| 74.2#121 | FT% | — |
| 24.2#365 | 3PA rate | #10641.6 |
Eastern Kentucky offense vs Tarleton St. defense
| Eastern Kentucky O | Stat | Tarleton St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.7#163 | Tempo | #8770.2 |
| 52.1#144 | eFG% | #29053.6 |
| 16.9#191 | TOV% | #323.4 |
| 32.5#103 | ORB% | #34035.1 |
| 30.7#286 | FT rate | #35947.7 |
| 8.4#90 | Block% | #1599.7 |
| 53.3#157 | Assist% | #26955.5 |
| 51.6#187 | 2P% | #29354.4 |
| 35.0#113 | 3P% | #24234.9 |
| 72.4#193 | FT% | — |
| 50.8#10 | 3PA rate | #13840.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Tarleton St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Abilene Christian242 | L 78–84 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | UT Arlington232 | L 60–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Cal Baptist216 | L 67–82 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Utah Valley120 | L 72–79 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Utah Tech254 | L 72–80 |
Eastern Kentucky
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Stetson267 | L 76–92 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Lipscomb199 | L 77–80 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Queens182 | L 79–96 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Bellarmine305 | W 95–92 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | West Georgia322 | W 81–80 |
