Model line
Central Arkansas −10.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Central Arkansas 88%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
Central Arkansas home
13%Win probability88%
The model makes Central Arkansas a 10.9-point favorite, winning about 88 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Abilene Christian offense vs Central Arkansas defense
| Abilene Christian O | Stat | Central Arkansas D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.9#152 | Tempo | #15368.9 |
| 47.5#326 | eFG% | #32654.9 |
| 20.8#355 | TOV% | #5019.0 |
| 31.0#163 | ORB% | #4827.4 |
| 41.7#35 | FT rate | #6030.1 |
| 12.6#350 | Block% | #3176.8 |
| 54.1#137 | Assist% | #35562.3 |
| 48.0#309 | 2P% | #34757.3 |
| 31.0#319 | 3P% | #25535.2 |
| 70.4#256 | FT% | — |
| 32.8#318 | 3PA rate | #252.3 |
Central Arkansas offense vs Abilene Christian defense
| Central Arkansas O | Stat | Abilene Christian D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.9#153 | Tempo | #15268.9 |
| 54.0#69 | eFG% | #35256.5 |
| 15.4#97 | TOV% | #223.4 |
| 28.8#238 | ORB% | #10829.1 |
| 31.2#276 | FT rate | #36553.5 |
| 10.7#280 | Block% | #2897.5 |
| 58.0#55 | Assist% | #12950.7 |
| 54.7#64 | 2P% | #28754.4 |
| 35.5#89 | 3P% | #36540.9 |
| 70.7#246 | FT% | — |
| 48.7#21 | 3PA rate | #36030.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Abilene Christian
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Utah Tech254 | L 74–80 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Tarleton St.178 | W 84–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | UT Arlington232 | L 57–64 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Cal Baptist216 | L 48–87 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Utah Valley120 | L 67–74 |
Central Arkansas
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Queens182 | L 93–98 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Florida Gulf Coast275 | W 73–63 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Bellarmine305 | W 86–73 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Queens182 | W 84–79 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Austin Peay195 | W 93–88 |
