HailRatings
← Back to Matchups

2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Central Arkansas · #177 · UAC · 0–0UT Arlington · #232 · UAC · 0–0Sat, Jan 9 · 3:00 PM ETCollege Park Center · Arlington, TX
Model line
UT Arlington −4.3
Win probability
UT Arlington 68%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
UT Arlington home
32%Win probability68%

The model makes UT Arlington a 4.3-point favorite, winning about 68 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Central Arkansas offense vs UT Arlington defense

Central Arkansas OStatUT Arlington D
68.9#153Tempo#27466.5
54.0#69eFG%#3047.4
15.4#97TOV%#9918.0
28.8#238ORB%#16830.1
31.2#276FT rate#31240.9
10.7#280Block%#1779.3
58.0#55Assist%#8949.1
54.7#642P%#13450.9
35.5#893P%#126.9
70.7#246FT%—
48.7#213PA rate#35332.3

UT Arlington offense vs Central Arkansas defense

UT Arlington OStatCentral Arkansas D
66.5#274Tempo#15368.9
47.2#332eFG%#32654.9
20.7#354TOV%#5019.0
34.9#51ORB%#4827.4
42.5#24FT rate#6030.1
9.5#192Block%#3176.8
46.4#310Assist%#35562.3
48.8#2892P%#34757.3
29.1#3523P%#25535.2
72.3#198FT%—
30.7#3463PA rate#252.3

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Central Arkansas

Sun, Mar 8NQueens182L 93–98
Sat, Mar 7NFlorida Gulf Coast275W 73–63
Fri, Mar 6NBellarmine305W 86–73
Sat, Feb 28HQueens182W 84–79
Wed, Feb 25AAustin Peay195W 93–88

UT Arlington

Fri, Mar 13NUtah Valley120L 65–67
Thu, Mar 12NSouthern Utah246W 69–63
Sat, Mar 7AAbilene Christian242W 64–57
Thu, Mar 5ATarleton St.178W 65–60
Thu, Feb 26ACal Baptist216L 56–68