Model line
Tarleton St. −8.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Tarleton St. 82%
Projected tempo
71.2
possessions
Site
Tarleton St. home
18%Win probability82%
The model makes Tarleton St. a 8.8-point favorite, winning about 82 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Little Rock offense vs Tarleton St. defense
| Little Rock O | Stat | Tarleton St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#219 | Tempo | #8770.2 |
| 49.4#271 | eFG% | #29053.6 |
| 18.4#290 | TOV% | #323.4 |
| 31.5#142 | ORB% | #34035.1 |
| 27.7#345 | FT rate | #35947.7 |
| 5.6#1 | Block% | #1599.7 |
| 52.2#188 | Assist% | #26955.5 |
| 47.9#312 | 2P% | #29354.4 |
| 35.3#100 | 3P% | #24234.9 |
| 68.0#326 | FT% | — |
| 31.0#339 | 3PA rate | #13840.7 |
Tarleton St. offense vs Little Rock defense
| Tarleton St. O | Stat | Little Rock D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.2#87 | Tempo | #21967.6 |
| 48.3#307 | eFG% | #20051.8 |
| 20.0#348 | TOV% | #7218.5 |
| 31.5#143 | ORB% | #35736.6 |
| 41.9#33 | FT rate | #13433.1 |
| 9.6#203 | Block% | #3912.5 |
| 41.7#355 | Assist% | #21853.7 |
| 48.2#303 | 2P% | #18651.9 |
| 32.5#257 | 3P% | #21134.4 |
| 74.2#121 | FT% | — |
| 24.2#365 | 3PA rate | #15140.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Little Rock
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Lindenwood303 | L 62–72 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Southern Indiana324 | W 89–70 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Morehead St.329 | L 70–76 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Southeast Missouri266 | L 65–70 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Tennessee Martin312 | W 67–65 |
Tarleton St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Abilene Christian242 | L 78–84 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | UT Arlington232 | L 60–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Cal Baptist216 | L 67–82 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Utah Valley120 | L 72–79 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Utah Tech254 | L 72–80 |
