Model line
Tarleton St. −6.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Tarleton St. 76%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
Tarleton St. home
24%Win probability76%
The model makes Tarleton St. a 6.8-point favorite, winning about 76 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Central Arkansas offense vs Tarleton St. defense
| Central Arkansas O | Stat | Tarleton St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.9#153 | Tempo | #8770.2 |
| 54.0#69 | eFG% | #29053.6 |
| 15.4#97 | TOV% | #323.4 |
| 28.8#238 | ORB% | #34035.1 |
| 31.2#276 | FT rate | #35947.7 |
| 10.7#280 | Block% | #1599.7 |
| 58.0#55 | Assist% | #26955.5 |
| 54.7#64 | 2P% | #29354.4 |
| 35.5#89 | 3P% | #24234.9 |
| 70.7#246 | FT% | — |
| 48.7#21 | 3PA rate | #13840.7 |
Tarleton St. offense vs Central Arkansas defense
| Tarleton St. O | Stat | Central Arkansas D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.2#87 | Tempo | #15368.9 |
| 48.3#307 | eFG% | #32654.9 |
| 20.0#348 | TOV% | #5019.0 |
| 31.5#143 | ORB% | #4827.4 |
| 41.9#33 | FT rate | #6030.1 |
| 9.6#203 | Block% | #3176.8 |
| 41.7#355 | Assist% | #35562.3 |
| 48.2#303 | 2P% | #34757.3 |
| 32.5#257 | 3P% | #25535.2 |
| 74.2#121 | FT% | — |
| 24.2#365 | 3PA rate | #252.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Central Arkansas
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Queens182 | L 93–98 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Florida Gulf Coast275 | W 73–63 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Bellarmine305 | W 86–73 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Queens182 | W 84–79 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Austin Peay195 | W 93–88 |
Tarleton St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Abilene Christian242 | L 78–84 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | UT Arlington232 | L 60–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Cal Baptist216 | L 67–82 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Utah Valley120 | L 72–79 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Utah Tech254 | L 72–80 |
