Model line
North Dakota St. −10.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
North Dakota St. 87%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
North Dakota St. home
13%Win probability87%
The model makes North Dakota St. a 10.5-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
South Dakota St. offense vs North Dakota St. defense
| South Dakota St. O | Stat | North Dakota St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9#203 | Tempo | #19368.2 |
| 52.0#148 | eFG% | #21252.0 |
| 16.1#148 | TOV% | #6518.7 |
| 30.3#190 | ORB% | #1425.5 |
| 29.7#319 | FT rate | #4729.2 |
| 7.8#48 | Block% | #2078.8 |
| 51.3#209 | Assist% | #28556.1 |
| 52.7#143 | 2P% | #24053.0 |
| 34.0#175 | 3P% | #17733.9 |
| 72.0#208 | FT% | — |
| 38.8#193 | 3PA rate | #4244.1 |
North Dakota St. offense vs South Dakota St. defense
| North Dakota St. O | Stat | South Dakota St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.2#193 | Tempo | #20367.9 |
| 53.2#94 | eFG% | #20351.8 |
| 15.6#113 | TOV% | #32214.5 |
| 32.9#92 | ORB% | #1125.1 |
| 30.6#290 | FT rate | #16334.5 |
| 9.3#164 | Block% | #3077.1 |
| 53.0#166 | Assist% | #19152.7 |
| 53.3#117 | 2P% | #21752.4 |
| 35.4#96 | 3P% | #18934.1 |
| 71.4#227 | FT% | — |
| 42.8#119 | 3PA rate | #1347.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
South Dakota St.
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | St. Thomas162 | L 67–80 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | South Dakota270 | L 70–75 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Kansas City292 | W 73–59 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | North Dakota328 | W 91–83 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | North Dakota St.170 | L 66–74 |
North Dakota St.
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Michigan St.9 | L 67–92 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | North Dakota328 | W 70–62 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Nebraska Omaha280 | W 74–50 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Oral Roberts261 | W 76–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | North Dakota328 | W 96–63 |
