Model line
North Dakota −3.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
North Dakota 64%
Projected tempo
71.8
possessions
Site
North Dakota home
36%Win probability64%
The model makes North Dakota a 3.5-point favorite, winning about 64 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
South Dakota offense vs North Dakota defense
| South Dakota O | Stat | North Dakota D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.4#36 | Tempo | #13469.2 |
| 49.9#241 | eFG% | #35356.5 |
| 16.6#173 | TOV% | #3719.4 |
| 28.7#244 | ORB% | #27732.4 |
| 45.2#4 | FT rate | #34443.8 |
| 9.4#179 | Block% | #2707.8 |
| 46.1#316 | Assist% | #33158.8 |
| 50.7#227 | 2P% | #34657.2 |
| 32.3#267 | 3P% | #34537.1 |
| 74.2#120 | FT% | — |
| 35.9#252 | 3PA rate | #7442.9 |
North Dakota offense vs South Dakota defense
| North Dakota O | Stat | South Dakota D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#134 | Tempo | #3671.4 |
| 49.4#272 | eFG% | #31754.5 |
| 14.1#26 | TOV% | #22715.9 |
| 27.4#286 | ORB% | #17930.3 |
| 37.8#108 | FT rate | #8431.0 |
| 8.3#79 | Block% | #3426.0 |
| 42.4#352 | Assist% | #942.8 |
| 49.7#267 | 2P% | #32355.7 |
| 32.7#247 | 3P% | #21834.5 |
| 69.5#282 | FT% | — |
| 40.6#153 | 3PA rate | #36130.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
South Dakota
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Nebraska Omaha280 | L 62–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | South Dakota St.237 | W 75–70 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Nebraska Omaha280 | W 89–72 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Oral Roberts261 | L 62–67 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Denver243 | L 70–90 |
North Dakota
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | North Dakota St.170 | L 62–70 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | St. Thomas162 | W 67–66 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Denver243 | W 83–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | North Dakota St.170 | L 63–96 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | South Dakota St.237 | L 83–91 |
