Model line
North Dakota St. −11.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
North Dakota St. 89%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
North Dakota St. home
11%Win probability89%
The model makes North Dakota St. a 11.6-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
South Dakota offense vs North Dakota St. defense
| South Dakota O | Stat | North Dakota St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.4#36 | Tempo | #19368.2 |
| 49.9#241 | eFG% | #21252.0 |
| 16.6#173 | TOV% | #6518.7 |
| 28.7#244 | ORB% | #1425.5 |
| 45.2#4 | FT rate | #4729.2 |
| 9.4#179 | Block% | #2078.8 |
| 46.1#316 | Assist% | #28556.1 |
| 50.7#227 | 2P% | #24053.0 |
| 32.3#267 | 3P% | #17733.9 |
| 74.2#120 | FT% | — |
| 35.9#252 | 3PA rate | #4244.1 |
North Dakota St. offense vs South Dakota defense
| North Dakota St. O | Stat | South Dakota D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.2#193 | Tempo | #3671.4 |
| 53.2#94 | eFG% | #31754.5 |
| 15.6#113 | TOV% | #22715.9 |
| 32.9#92 | ORB% | #17930.3 |
| 30.6#290 | FT rate | #8431.0 |
| 9.3#164 | Block% | #3426.0 |
| 53.0#166 | Assist% | #942.8 |
| 53.3#117 | 2P% | #32355.7 |
| 35.4#96 | 3P% | #21834.5 |
| 71.4#227 | FT% | — |
| 42.8#119 | 3PA rate | #36130.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
South Dakota
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Nebraska Omaha280 | L 62–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | South Dakota St.237 | W 75–70 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Nebraska Omaha280 | W 89–72 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Oral Roberts261 | L 62–67 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Denver243 | L 70–90 |
North Dakota St.
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Michigan St.9 | L 67–92 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | North Dakota328 | W 70–62 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Nebraska Omaha280 | W 74–50 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Oral Roberts261 | W 76–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | North Dakota328 | W 96–63 |
