Model line
North Dakota −1.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
North Dakota 57%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
North Dakota home
43%Win probability57%
The model makes North Dakota a 1.8-point favorite, winning about 57 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
South Dakota St. offense vs North Dakota defense
| South Dakota St. O | Stat | North Dakota D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9#203 | Tempo | #13469.2 |
| 52.0#148 | eFG% | #35356.5 |
| 16.1#148 | TOV% | #3719.4 |
| 30.3#190 | ORB% | #27732.4 |
| 29.7#319 | FT rate | #34443.8 |
| 7.8#48 | Block% | #2707.8 |
| 51.3#209 | Assist% | #33158.8 |
| 52.7#143 | 2P% | #34657.2 |
| 34.0#175 | 3P% | #34537.1 |
| 72.0#208 | FT% | — |
| 38.8#193 | 3PA rate | #7442.9 |
North Dakota offense vs South Dakota St. defense
| North Dakota O | Stat | South Dakota St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#134 | Tempo | #20367.9 |
| 49.4#272 | eFG% | #20351.8 |
| 14.1#26 | TOV% | #32214.5 |
| 27.4#286 | ORB% | #1125.1 |
| 37.8#108 | FT rate | #16334.5 |
| 8.3#79 | Block% | #3077.1 |
| 42.4#352 | Assist% | #19152.7 |
| 49.7#267 | 2P% | #21752.4 |
| 32.7#247 | 3P% | #18934.1 |
| 69.5#282 | FT% | — |
| 40.6#153 | 3PA rate | #1347.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
South Dakota St.
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | St. Thomas162 | L 67–80 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | South Dakota270 | L 70–75 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Kansas City292 | W 73–59 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | North Dakota328 | W 91–83 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | North Dakota St.170 | L 66–74 |
North Dakota
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | North Dakota St.170 | L 62–70 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | St. Thomas162 | W 67–66 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Denver243 | W 83–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | North Dakota St.170 | L 63–96 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | South Dakota St.237 | L 83–91 |
