Model line
North Dakota −4.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
North Dakota 67%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
North Dakota home
33%Win probability67%
The model makes North Dakota a 4.1-point favorite, winning about 67 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Nebraska Omaha offense vs North Dakota defense
| Nebraska Omaha O | Stat | North Dakota D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.6#166 | Tempo | #13469.2 |
| 52.2#140 | eFG% | #35356.5 |
| 16.1#147 | TOV% | #3719.4 |
| 25.5#332 | ORB% | #27732.4 |
| 34.5#196 | FT rate | #34443.8 |
| 10.5#274 | Block% | #2707.8 |
| 46.9#305 | Assist% | #33158.8 |
| 53.0#129 | 2P% | #34657.2 |
| 34.0#171 | 3P% | #34537.1 |
| 73.2#164 | FT% | — |
| 40.9#148 | 3PA rate | #7442.9 |
North Dakota offense vs Nebraska Omaha defense
| North Dakota O | Stat | Nebraska Omaha D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#134 | Tempo | #16668.6 |
| 49.4#272 | eFG% | #25552.7 |
| 14.1#26 | TOV% | #33114.1 |
| 27.4#286 | ORB% | #9328.7 |
| 37.8#108 | FT rate | #14233.6 |
| 8.3#79 | Block% | #1919.1 |
| 42.4#352 | Assist% | #21353.4 |
| 49.7#267 | 2P% | #31855.6 |
| 32.7#247 | 3P% | #11432.9 |
| 69.5#282 | FT% | — |
| 40.6#153 | 3PA rate | #2745.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Nebraska Omaha
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | North Dakota St.170 | L 50–74 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | South Dakota270 | W 76–62 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | St. Thomas162 | L 53–68 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | South Dakota270 | L 72–89 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | Oral Roberts261 | W 80–71 |
North Dakota
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | North Dakota St.170 | L 62–70 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | St. Thomas162 | W 67–66 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Denver243 | W 83–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | North Dakota St.170 | L 63–96 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | South Dakota St.237 | L 83–91 |
