Model line
St. Thomas −3.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
St. Thomas 64%
Projected tempo
70.7
possessions
Site
North Dakota home
64%Win probability36%
The model makes St. Thomas a 3.4-point favorite, winning about 64 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
St. Thomas offense vs North Dakota defense
| St. Thomas O | Stat | North Dakota D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#107 | Tempo | #13469.2 |
| 58.9#5 | eFG% | #35356.5 |
| 14.3#34 | TOV% | #3719.4 |
| 22.6#353 | ORB% | #27732.4 |
| 33.8#220 | FT rate | #34443.8 |
| 8.3#84 | Block% | #2707.8 |
| 56.7#74 | Assist% | #33158.8 |
| 63.0#1 | 2P% | #34657.2 |
| 36.0#60 | 3P% | #34537.1 |
| 68.7#305 | FT% | — |
| 46.3#41 | 3PA rate | #7442.9 |
North Dakota offense vs St. Thomas defense
| North Dakota O | Stat | St. Thomas D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#134 | Tempo | #10769.7 |
| 49.4#272 | eFG% | #13850.7 |
| 14.1#26 | TOV% | #15717.0 |
| 27.4#286 | ORB% | #2726.6 |
| 37.8#108 | FT rate | #8130.7 |
| 8.3#79 | Block% | #2937.5 |
| 42.4#352 | Assist% | #20052.9 |
| 49.7#267 | 2P% | #23052.8 |
| 32.7#247 | 3P% | #5431.7 |
| 69.5#282 | FT% | — |
| 40.6#153 | 3PA rate | #12441.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
St. Thomas
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | Seattle115 | L 52–67 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | North Dakota328 | L 66–67 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | South Dakota St.237 | W 80–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Nebraska Omaha280 | W 68–53 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | North Dakota St.170 | W 84–62 |
North Dakota
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | North Dakota St.170 | L 62–70 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | St. Thomas162 | W 67–66 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Denver243 | W 83–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | North Dakota St.170 | L 63–96 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | South Dakota St.237 | L 83–91 |
