Model line
St. Thomas −12.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
St. Thomas 91%
Projected tempo
71.8
possessions
Site
St. Thomas home
9%Win probability91%
The model makes St. Thomas a 12.6-point favorite, winning about 91 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
South Dakota offense vs St. Thomas defense
| South Dakota O | Stat | St. Thomas D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.4#36 | Tempo | #10769.7 |
| 49.9#241 | eFG% | #13850.7 |
| 16.6#173 | TOV% | #15717.0 |
| 28.7#244 | ORB% | #2726.6 |
| 45.2#4 | FT rate | #8130.7 |
| 9.4#179 | Block% | #2937.5 |
| 46.1#316 | Assist% | #20052.9 |
| 50.7#227 | 2P% | #23052.8 |
| 32.3#267 | 3P% | #5431.7 |
| 74.2#120 | FT% | — |
| 35.9#252 | 3PA rate | #12441.1 |
St. Thomas offense vs South Dakota defense
| St. Thomas O | Stat | South Dakota D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#107 | Tempo | #3671.4 |
| 58.9#5 | eFG% | #31754.5 |
| 14.3#34 | TOV% | #22715.9 |
| 22.6#353 | ORB% | #17930.3 |
| 33.8#220 | FT rate | #8431.0 |
| 8.3#84 | Block% | #3426.0 |
| 56.7#74 | Assist% | #942.8 |
| 63.0#1 | 2P% | #32355.7 |
| 36.0#60 | 3P% | #21834.5 |
| 68.7#305 | FT% | — |
| 46.3#41 | 3PA rate | #36130.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
South Dakota
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Nebraska Omaha280 | L 62–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | South Dakota St.237 | W 75–70 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Nebraska Omaha280 | W 89–72 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Oral Roberts261 | L 62–67 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Denver243 | L 70–90 |
St. Thomas
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | Seattle115 | L 52–67 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | North Dakota328 | L 66–67 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | South Dakota St.237 | W 80–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Nebraska Omaha280 | W 68–53 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | North Dakota St.170 | W 84–62 |
