Model line
South Dakota −5.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
South Dakota 73%
Projected tempo
71.6
possessions
Site
South Dakota home
27%Win probability73%
The model makes South Dakota a 5.7-point favorite, winning about 73 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
South Dakota St. offense vs South Dakota defense
| South Dakota St. O | Stat | South Dakota D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9#203 | Tempo | #3671.4 |
| 52.0#148 | eFG% | #31754.5 |
| 16.1#148 | TOV% | #22715.9 |
| 30.3#190 | ORB% | #17930.3 |
| 29.7#319 | FT rate | #8431.0 |
| 7.8#48 | Block% | #3426.0 |
| 51.3#209 | Assist% | #942.8 |
| 52.7#143 | 2P% | #32355.7 |
| 34.0#175 | 3P% | #21834.5 |
| 72.0#208 | FT% | — |
| 38.8#193 | 3PA rate | #36130.0 |
South Dakota offense vs South Dakota St. defense
| South Dakota O | Stat | South Dakota St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.4#36 | Tempo | #20367.9 |
| 49.9#241 | eFG% | #20351.8 |
| 16.6#173 | TOV% | #32214.5 |
| 28.7#244 | ORB% | #1125.1 |
| 45.2#4 | FT rate | #16334.5 |
| 9.4#179 | Block% | #3077.1 |
| 46.1#316 | Assist% | #19152.7 |
| 50.7#227 | 2P% | #21752.4 |
| 32.3#267 | 3P% | #18934.1 |
| 74.2#120 | FT% | — |
| 35.9#252 | 3PA rate | #1347.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
South Dakota St.
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | St. Thomas162 | L 67–80 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | South Dakota270 | L 70–75 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Kansas City292 | W 73–59 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | North Dakota328 | W 91–83 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | North Dakota St.170 | L 66–74 |
South Dakota
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Nebraska Omaha280 | L 62–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | South Dakota St.237 | W 75–70 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Nebraska Omaha280 | W 89–72 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Oral Roberts261 | L 62–67 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Denver243 | L 70–90 |
