Model line
St. Thomas −7.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
St. Thomas 78%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
St. Thomas home
22%Win probability78%
The model makes St. Thomas a 7.2-point favorite, winning about 78 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
North Dakota St. offense vs St. Thomas defense
| North Dakota St. O | Stat | St. Thomas D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.2#193 | Tempo | #10769.7 |
| 53.2#94 | eFG% | #13850.7 |
| 15.6#113 | TOV% | #15717.0 |
| 32.9#92 | ORB% | #2726.6 |
| 30.6#290 | FT rate | #8130.7 |
| 9.3#164 | Block% | #2937.5 |
| 53.0#166 | Assist% | #20052.9 |
| 53.3#117 | 2P% | #23052.8 |
| 35.4#96 | 3P% | #5431.7 |
| 71.4#227 | FT% | — |
| 42.8#119 | 3PA rate | #12441.1 |
St. Thomas offense vs North Dakota St. defense
| St. Thomas O | Stat | North Dakota St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#107 | Tempo | #19368.2 |
| 58.9#5 | eFG% | #21252.0 |
| 14.3#34 | TOV% | #6518.7 |
| 22.6#353 | ORB% | #1425.5 |
| 33.8#220 | FT rate | #4729.2 |
| 8.3#84 | Block% | #2078.8 |
| 56.7#74 | Assist% | #28556.1 |
| 63.0#1 | 2P% | #24053.0 |
| 36.0#60 | 3P% | #17733.9 |
| 68.7#305 | FT% | — |
| 46.3#41 | 3PA rate | #4244.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
North Dakota St.
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Michigan St.9 | L 67–92 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | North Dakota328 | W 70–62 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Nebraska Omaha280 | W 74–50 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Oral Roberts261 | W 76–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | North Dakota328 | W 96–63 |
St. Thomas
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | Seattle115 | L 52–67 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | North Dakota328 | L 66–67 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | South Dakota St.237 | W 80–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Nebraska Omaha280 | W 68–53 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | North Dakota St.170 | W 84–62 |
