Model line
Middle Tennessee −8.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Middle Tennessee 81%
Projected tempo
69.2
possessions
Site
Middle Tennessee home
19%Win probability81%
The model makes Middle Tennessee a 8.2-point favorite, winning about 81 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Jacksonville St. offense vs Middle Tennessee defense
| Jacksonville St. O | Stat | Middle Tennessee D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#304 | Tempo | #26366.6 |
| 49.7#250 | eFG% | #15951.0 |
| 17.0#201 | TOV% | #29115.0 |
| 29.8#208 | ORB% | #8628.5 |
| 43.1#20 | FT rate | #20335.7 |
| 9.7#209 | Block% | #10110.7 |
| 49.6#251 | Assist% | #5147.2 |
| 47.4#326 | 2P% | #13951.0 |
| 35.7#73 | 3P% | #17433.9 |
| 68.4#314 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#211 | 3PA rate | #31035.3 |
Middle Tennessee offense vs Jacksonville St. defense
| Middle Tennessee O | Stat | Jacksonville St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.6#263 | Tempo | #30465.8 |
| 51.6#169 | eFG% | #8649.6 |
| 17.1#209 | TOV% | #21216.2 |
| 30.7#172 | ORB% | #6728.0 |
| 32.7#246 | FT rate | #27938.7 |
| 8.3#78 | Block% | #1679.5 |
| 53.5#150 | Assist% | #15251.3 |
| 52.3#156 | 2P% | #7249.3 |
| 33.8#184 | 3P% | #14033.3 |
| 70.2#266 | FT% | — |
| 45.3#60 | 3PA rate | #7342.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Jacksonville St.
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | New Mexico St.140 | L 63–68 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | UTEP169 | W 64–61 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | New Mexico St.140 | L 75–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Liberty149 | L 78–81 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Delaware258 | W 80–70 |
Middle Tennessee
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | Fisk | W 117–73 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Louisiana Tech282 | L 69–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Missouri St.263 | W 75–63 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | FIU187 | W 73–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | New Mexico St.140 | W 86–85 |
