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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

New Mexico St. · #140 · CUSA · 0–0Missouri St. · #263 · CUSA · 0–0Thu, Mar 4 · 8:00 PM ETGreat Southern Bank Arena · Springfield, MO
Model line
New Mexico St. −0.0
Win probability
New Mexico St. 50%
Projected tempo
69.4
possessions
Site
Missouri St. home
50%Win probability50%

The model sees this game as a coin flip.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

New Mexico St. offense vs Missouri St. defense

New Mexico St. OStatMissouri St. D
67.2#236Tempo#28366.3
48.5#303eFG%#21152.0
15.0#65TOV%#16016.9
32.5#105ORB%#26132.1
34.9#185FT rate#30440.2
8.1#68Block%#2288.5
49.3#259Assist%#10749.8
48.5#2972P%#21452.3
32.4#2623P%#21334.4
73.5#153FT%—
38.7#1963PA rate#29535.8

Missouri St. offense vs New Mexico St. defense

Missouri St. OStatNew Mexico St. D
66.3#283Tempo#23667.2
51.1#190eFG%#5648.7
16.7#176TOV%#30814.7
32.0#124ORB%#17730.3
43.8#12FT rate#34644.2
13.6#360Block%#2029.0
56.6#76Assist%#6147.8
52.2#1642P%#5948.8
33.0#2293P%#8532.4
67.3#340FT%—
41.3#1433PA rate#11641.3

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

New Mexico St.

Wed, Mar 11NSam Houston St.171L 61–69
Tue, Mar 10NJacksonville St.197W 68–63
Sat, Mar 7HKennesaw St.146W 79–76
Thu, Mar 5HJacksonville St.197W 77–75
Sat, Feb 28AMiddle Tennessee160L 85–86

Missouri St.

Fri, Mar 13NLouisiana Tech282L 66–69
Wed, Mar 11NLiberty149W 77–69
Tue, Mar 10NFIU187W 75–72
Sat, Mar 7HMiddle Tennessee160L 63–75
Thu, Mar 5HWestern Kentucky119W 87–74