Model line
Middle Tennessee −6.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Middle Tennessee 74%
Projected tempo
71.6
possessions
Site
Middle Tennessee home
26%Win probability74%
The model makes Middle Tennessee a 6.2-point favorite, winning about 74 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Kennesaw St. offense vs Middle Tennessee defense
| Kennesaw St. O | Stat | Middle Tennessee D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.8#28 | Tempo | #26366.6 |
| 50.4#217 | eFG% | #15951.0 |
| 16.7#175 | TOV% | #29115.0 |
| 35.2#45 | ORB% | #8628.5 |
| 45.1#5 | FT rate | #20335.7 |
| 13.0#354 | Block% | #10110.7 |
| 50.9#220 | Assist% | #5147.2 |
| 50.5#235 | 2P% | #13951.0 |
| 33.4#202 | 3P% | #17433.9 |
| 70.1#271 | FT% | — |
| 42.5#127 | 3PA rate | #31035.3 |
Middle Tennessee offense vs Kennesaw St. defense
| Middle Tennessee O | Stat | Kennesaw St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.6#263 | Tempo | #2871.8 |
| 51.6#169 | eFG% | #4348.3 |
| 17.1#209 | TOV% | #22416.0 |
| 30.7#172 | ORB% | #23131.6 |
| 32.7#246 | FT rate | #35847.1 |
| 8.3#78 | Block% | #1314.5 |
| 53.5#150 | Assist% | #11350.0 |
| 52.3#156 | 2P% | #2847.1 |
| 33.8#184 | 3P% | #15433.5 |
| 70.2#266 | FT% | — |
| 45.3#60 | 3PA rate | #23837.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Kennesaw St.
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Gonzaga17 | L 64–73 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Louisiana Tech282 | W 71–60 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Sam Houston St.171 | W 79–73 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Western Kentucky119 | W 96–87 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | New Mexico St.140 | L 76–79 |
Middle Tennessee
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | Fisk | W 117–73 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Louisiana Tech282 | L 69–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Missouri St.263 | W 75–63 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | FIU187 | W 73–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | New Mexico St.140 | W 86–85 |
