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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Jacksonville St. · #197 · CUSA · 0–0Western Kentucky · #119 · CUSA · 0–0Thu, Mar 4 · 7:30 PM ETE.A. Diddle Arena · Bowling Green, KY
Model line
Western Kentucky −12.4
Win probability
Western Kentucky 90%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
Western Kentucky home
10%Win probability90%

The model makes Western Kentucky a 12.4-point favorite, winning about 90 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Jacksonville St. offense vs Western Kentucky defense

Jacksonville St. OStatWestern Kentucky D
65.8#304Tempo#5970.9
49.7#250eFG%#17451.2
17.0#201TOV%#13717.2
29.8#208ORB%#13529.5
43.1#20FT rate#35746.8
9.7#209Block%#3156.9
49.6#251Assist%#30757.6
47.4#3262P%#14551.0
35.7#733P%#20634.3
68.4#314FT%—
38.1#2113PA rate#9042.3

Western Kentucky offense vs Jacksonville St. defense

Western Kentucky OStatJacksonville St. D
70.9#59Tempo#30465.8
47.5#329eFG%#8649.6
14.5#44TOV%#21216.2
31.8#134ORB%#6728.0
41.2#45FT rate#27938.7
11.9#338Block%#1679.5
51.2#213Assist%#15251.3
45.8#3502P%#7249.3
33.4#2043P%#14033.3
75.7#62FT%—
39.4#1843PA rate#7342.9

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Jacksonville St.

Tue, Mar 10NNew Mexico St.140L 63–68
Sat, Mar 7AUTEP169W 64–61
Thu, Mar 5ANew Mexico St.140L 75–77
Sat, Feb 28HLiberty149L 78–81
Thu, Feb 26HDelaware258W 80–70

Western Kentucky

Thu, Mar 12NKennesaw St.146L 87–96
Sat, Mar 7AFIU187L 67–92
Thu, Mar 5AMissouri St.263L 74–87
Sat, Feb 28HUTEP169W 97–65
Thu, Feb 26HNew Mexico St.140W 93–70